Greek – Turkish and American elections Technologybud



The 2020 US elections have aroused special global interest and for quite understandable reasons, in addition to Trump’s anomalies and impropriety. Greece is accustomed to investing high expectations in US elections – certainly higher this time around due to problems with Turkey – and is generally disappointed. The expectations are not justified either in relation to Turkey or the solution of the Cyprus problem. The bitter experience with the election of J. Carter in 1976 and the expectations we had then invested in his face for the solution of the Cyprus problem should have taught us not to so easily turn our pious desires into reality. Of course, this does not mean that there are no differences regarding the issues of Greek interest between the various candidates for the White House. There are. Another Joe Biden and another Donald Trump. The former is clearly more sensitive to the observance of the rules of international law by any country, whether it is called Turkey or Russia. While the latter, as his tenure has shown, is sensitive to authoritarian leaders like Tayyip Erdogan and rather ostentatious indifference to rules and institutions. But some of the basic choices of American foreign policy are structured in a way by institutions and by the unwavering logic of American interests. And they remain stable, although their style and manner of promotion certainly differ from president to president. And this is important to understand in depth from the Greek side. Thus, with regard to our nearest region (Eastern Mediterranean, Middle East, Turkey), the most likely scenario is for the US withdrawal from the region to continue, albeit in a more structured, controlled manner. After all, the US is no longer dependent on the region’s energy resources (it is already self-sufficient in shale gas). However, they will selectively continue to focus on some countries in the wider region considered as “pivotal states” and one of these countries is Turkey (except Greece for different reasons). For many reasons, the US considers that, although extremely problematic, Turkey is a country of high strategic importance that they would not want to lose. So they will try to discipline her behavior and reduce her blatant exaggerations, and it is possible that they will try a rapprochement to bring her back to the western camp. In other words, they are not going to act as the “big brother” who with one move will restore normalcy in the Eastern Mediterranean region and Greek-Turkish relations and stop Turkish delinquency. Greece should therefore not wait for normalization. in relations with Turkey and finally the solution of the Greek-Turkish problems to come from an external intervention, either from the USA or from the EU (no matter how important the latter is). It will come from its own proprietary strategy that aims to do just that: to solve problems through dialogue – negotiation – appealing to International Justice (ICJ). And a coherent, comprehensive problem-solving strategy does not seem to exist. On the contrary, Greece seems to be looking for a new overall strategy to deal with neo-Ottoman Turkey. In this process, too, it seeks alliances or alliances outside the institutional framework to which it belongs, the European Union. But these alliances are not going to formulate the overall strategy for solving problems, especially alliances with the countries of the region, and transform Turkey as a “cooperation neighbor” on a long-term basis. The comprehensive two-pronged strategy can be constructed (a) with a bold overall plan of concrete steps to solve all problems and (b) with the aim of connecting Turkey more broadly to European Union processes, mechanisms, structures, including structures. (PESCO) under certain conditions that will satisfy Greek concerns (especially as the Union has recently decided that “third countries”, non-EU countries, will be able to participate in defense policy through PESCO). In other words, the starting point for the long-term Greek strategy can only be the European Union. The United States has an important but secondary role, regardless of the person of the president. At European Union level, what is now certain is that the pursuit of “strategic autonomy” – which means, among other things, autonomy from the United States – will be accelerated by aimed at strengthening “European sovereignty”. This is a dimension in which Greece, as a member of the Union, should give higher importance and priority. And, finally, let us not lose sight of the fact that the elections we are most interested in are the ones that will be held next year here in Europe and in Germany for Angela Merkel’s successor in the Chancellery. See all the latest News from Greece and the World, at



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